According to a poll by Reuters, the confidence index of Japanese manufacturing companies has returned to the highest level since the financial crisis, but because of concerns about deflation and insufficient domestic demand, confidence remains fragile overall.
Reuters' survey of 400 large companies showed that the manufacturing confidence index rose by 8 points to minus 19, and is expected to continue to rise by 3 points to minus 16 in April this year. However, major export industries such as automobiles are worried that export earnings will be eroded because of the strong yen exchange rate, and confidence has declined.
A transportation machinery manufacturing company executive who participated in this poll believes that although the Japanese economy has entered a recovery track, concerns about deflation and rising yen exchange rates still exist.
In addition, the survey results also showed that the confidence index of the Japanese service industry rose by 5 points to minus 34, still at a low level, and is expected to rise to minus 31 in April. In the next three months, the confidence of Japanese manufacturing and non-manufacturing companies will increase, but the recovery of confidence will be slow.
The Reuters survey will be one of the main indicators of the short-term economic observations of companies implemented by the Central Bank of Japan on a quarterly basis. The index surveys is that the economic situation "good" company and the proportion of the difference between the proportion of businesses believe that the economic situation "bad". If the final figure is positive, it means that the judgment is optimistic, and if it is negative, it means that the judgment is pessimistic.
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