There is no suspense in the domestic five-year rise in refined oil prices.

Abstract The reporter learned from the social monitoring agencies that the international crude oil market has recently approached the US$80 mark and is expected to maintain a strong trend in the short term. On May 25, domestic refined oil products will open a new round of price adjustment window. At that time, there will be no suspense in the “five consecutive rises”. On May 11th, the refined oil was adjusted on the market...

The reporter learned from the social monitoring agencies that the international crude oil market has recently approached the US$80 mark and is expected to maintain a strong trend in the short term. On May 25, domestic refined oil products will open a new round of price adjustment window. At that time, there will be no suspense in the “five consecutive rises”.

Since the oil product was adjusted on May 11, international crude oil has maintained a strong trend. As the OPEC monthly report announced that the OECD oil inventories continued to decrease in March, it showed that the OPEC countries' production reduction effect continued to ferment, and the political turmoil in the Middle East triggered market concerns about supply prospects. The oil price closed up for two consecutive days.

Due to tight supply and strong demand, Brent crude further approached the $80 mark in the European market on May 17th, the highest since November 2014. ANZ said that Brent crude oil is likely to break through $80 a barrel. Morgan Stanley said it has raised its Brent crude oil price estimate and believes it will rise to $90 a barrel by 2020.

Affected by the high level of international crude oil operation, the rate of change since the current round of pricing has been positively developing. According to Jinlian, as of the fourth working day of May 17, the average price of reference crude oil is 74.69 US dollars per barrel, with a rate of change of 3.9. %, corresponding to the price of gasoline and diesel increased by about 200 yuan per ton, this round of price adjustment window is 24 o'clock on May 25. The data monitored by Zhuo Chuang Information is 3.84%, corresponding to an increase of 167 yuan.

Xu Peng, an analyst at Jinlian, believes that in the short-term, international crude oil will easily rise and fall, and the rate of change will remain positive. The retail price of this round of refined oil will usher in a “five consecutive rises”. There is no suspense, and gasoline and diesel. The rate of redemption is expected to continue to expand.

With the positive news, the domestic wholesale market for refined oil products continued to rise. Due to the rising price of gasoline and diesel during the last round of pricing cycle, the mid-stream and downstream users in the market have been stocked in large quantities. Considering that the market inventory is abundant, most people in the industry expect that the price of refined oil will enter a consolidation period and may even be moderately adjusted. However, under the spur of the continued rise in crude oil, the willingness of buyers in the market has also increased. Shandong refining has continued to lead the oil price upwards on Tuesday (May 15).

According to the evaluation of Jinlian's refined oil products, in the past two days, the total number of 0# trucks in Shandong has increased by 100 yuan to 6,450 yuan per ton, and the total of 92# gasoline has increased by 50 yuan to 7,350 yuan per ton. In terms of main business, the increase of gasoline and diesel in the past two days was 50 yuan per ton. On May 16th, the mainstream transaction of 0# truckwood was 6500 yuan-6800 yuan per ton, and the mainstream transaction of 92# gasoline was 7500 yuan-7700 yuan.

"In the later period, as the retail price of this round of refined oil is expected to be clear, and the corresponding range is large, it will support the wholesale market to maintain the upward trend." Xu Peng said.

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